Bank of England May Cut Interest Rates More Frequently Than Traders Expect, Says Abrdn
The Bank of England (BoE) is facing pressure from economists and investors who suggest current expectations for interest rate cuts are insufficient. Financial firm Abrdn believes that traders are pricing in a more conservative outlook on the likelihood of rate cuts than necessary, which may lead to a significant impact on the markets.
Recent data published this week indicates that traders currently anticipate only minor interest rate cuts over the next year. However, Abrdn experts argue that the Bank of England may be forced to act more decisively if the economic outlook does not improve and inflation continues to be under pressure.
Multiple economic indicators show that the UK economy remains under strain. The labor market is weakening, and the consumer price index remains high, indicating a need for adjustments in monetary policy. Should inflation data remain elevated, it could prompt more aggressive measures from the regulator.
Experts predict that the Bank of England will not only revise its forecasts but also influence the overall expectations of traders. Data has suggested that the anticipated changes in interest rates are likely to be reconsidered, creating pressure on markets that may not be prepared for such adjustments.
Consequently, Abrdn advises investors to factor in the potential for a more aggressive approach from the Bank of England and to prepare for changes that may occur over the next year. Economists' forecasts emphasize the need to adapt to new realities amid a shifting global economy.
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